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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 03/20 11:31
Northern Dressed Cattle Begin to Trade at $372
Cattle began to trade in the cash market at steady prices and traders gave a
sigh of relief and are now allowing the cattle futures to trade slightly higher
into Friday's noon hour.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is trading mixed into Friday's noon hour as the cattle
contracts are higher while the hog complex continues to scale lower. Some light
cash cattle trade has been noted in the North at $372, which is steady with
last week's weighted average. May corn is down 5 1/4 cents per bushel and May
soybean meal is down $7.20. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 217.57
points and NASDAQ is down 227.85 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Upon finding some minute stability in the futures complex, the live cattle
contracts are comfortably trading slightly higher into Friday's noon hour. It
also has helped that there's been a thin movement of cash cattle noted in the
North at prices steady with last week's weighted average. Traders found peace
of mind in the fact that prices didn't again slip lower this past week. But it
is unfortunate the cattle sold in the North are committed to the deferred
delivery option, which could pressure the market in the weeks ahead as packers
are building up inventory. April live cattle is up $1.15 at $234.45, June live
cattle is up $1.87 at $233.65 and August live cattle is up $2.02 at $231.12.
Some light cash cattle trade has been reported in Nebraska at $372 (set for
delivery the weeks of April 6 and April 13) which is steady with last week's
weighted average. Otherwise, the market hasn't seen any other cattle trade just
yet, but bids are on the table in all regions. Asking prices are noted in the
South at $238 to $240. And there is a chance the bulk of this week's trade
could be delayed until after this afternoon's Cattle on Feed report is released.
Boxed beef prices are higher: choice up $0.12 ($400.42) and select up $0.33
($392.78) with a movement of 67 loads (48.49 loads of choice, 4.40 loads of
select, 6.85 loads of trim and 6.96 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Upon seeing the live cattle complex charge into the last trading day of the
week with a tick more bullishness, the feeder cattle contracts have followed
suit. March feeders are up $3.17 at $358.45, April feeders are up $3.45 at
$351.20 and May feeders are up $3.35 at $346.77. So long as no major shift is
seen in the live cattle contracts ahead of Friday's end, it's likely the feeder
cattle contracts will keep this momentum through the day's end.
LEAN HOGS:
Although pork cutout values are higher, traders can't seem to give credence
to the fundamental uptick in support as at this point it seems a little too
late to add much value ahead of Friday's close to really help the contracts
trade higher. April lean hogs are down $0.47 at $91.57, June lean hogs are up
$0.04 at $104.80 and July lean hogs are up down $0.07 at $107.00. The market is
nearing support in the spot June contract, which hopefully the market won't
pressure ahead of the week's close as that could signal continued downward
pressure.
Hog prices averaged $91.29 on the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report, ranging
from $88.00 to $92.00 on 509 head and a five-day rolling average of $90.92.
Pork cutouts totaled 163.91 loads with 149.64 loads of pork cuts and 14.27
loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $2.84, $100.89.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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