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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 10/23 11:53
Mixed Tones Overtake the Livestock Complex
Some bids have surfaced in the North, but still no cattle have traded as
feedlot managers are aiming to move the market higher again this week.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
It's another mixed day for the livestock complex as yes, the live cattle
contracts are trading higher, but both the lean hog and feeder cattle contracts
are trading lower. Some bids have surfaced in the fed cash cattle market, but
still no sizeable volumes have traded. December corn is up 1 1/2 cents per
bushel and December soybean meal is up $0.50. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
is up 91.03 points and NASDAQ is up 170.97 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Now that the industry has had time to see and absorb Agriculture Secretary
Brooke Rollins plan to revitalize the U.S. beef herd, the market is back to
trading higher as traders and industry experts saw no real issue with the
proposal. You can read her plan to fortify the American Beef Industry here:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/USDA%20Beef%20Industry%20Plan
%20White%20Paper.pdf.
December live cattle are up $2.10 at $241.92, February live cattle are up
$0.97 at $241.35 and April live cattle are up $0.62 at $240.75. There are some
bids beginning to hit the market as packers have offered $238 live in Nebraska
and $370 dressed in Nebraska. But at this time, no major sales have been
reported. Asking prices are still not established in the North but are now
listed in the South at $243 plus. Packer interest could improve later this
afternoon, but it's most likely that trade is delayed until Friday as feedlot
managers are going to try to see prices trade higher again this week.
Boxed beef prices are higher: choice up $1.83 ($372.48) and select up $0.50
($354.11) with a movement of 75 loads (41.91 loads of choice, 17.74 loads of
select, 5.19 loads of trim and 9.66 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
The feeder cattle complex is still trading sorely lower, as it remains
uneasy with the cattle complex being a hot ticket item this week for the
President. November feeders are down $0.80 at $363.42, January feeders are down
$1.65 at $359.37 and March feeders are down $2.15 at $356.27. The spot November
contract is nearing the market's 40-day moving average, which would be a bad
threshold to cross for the market as it could signal more downward pressure.
LEAN HOGS:
With pork cutout values lower again today, it comes as no real surprise that
the lean hog complex is trading lower yet again. December lean hogs ae down
$0.42 at $81.97, February lean hogs are down $0.65 at $84.57 and April lean
hogs are down $0.62 at $89.12. Unfortunately, it's most likely that the market
will continue to trade sideways/somewhat lower throughout the remainder of the
day and week as support is expected to significantly change ahead of the week's
end.
The projected lean hog index for 10/22/2025 is down $0.55 at $93.63, and the
actual index for 10/21/2025 is down $0.80 at $94.18. Hog prices are lower on
the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report, down $0.68 with a weighted average price
of $86.35, ranging from $82.00 to $88.00 on 960 head and a five-day rolling
average of $89.17. Pork cutouts totaled 195.99 loads with 169.96 loads of pork
cuts and 26.03 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: down $0.91, $98.84.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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